The primary Mexico Open at Vidanta ever on the PGA Tour schedule is right here and we’re making our DraftKings picks and constructing a profitable PGA DFS lineup.
In case you don’t keep in mind the Mexico Open at Vidanta from earlier years on the PGA Tour, you’re truly in the best. This can be a debut occasion on the tour, although the match itself has been performed for a few years on varied different excursions. That plus a comparatively weak discipline offers fairly an fascinating look as we break down the DraftKings PGA DFS slate for this week.
The pure inclination goes to be to place the blokes you already know in your lineup and, to some extent, you wish to try this. On the similar time, although, most individuals are going to assume that approach, so that you’re going to wish to discover the best spots to make a pivot along with your picks so that you could differ your lineup up sufficient to offer you extra upside.
With that stated, doing so goes to take some surgical precision along with your picks provided that solely six gamers ranked inside the High 50 on the earth are taking part in at Vidanta Vallarta, a course that we don’t know however have sufficient info to acknowledge that gamers are going to must be lengthy and able to rating to compete and contend.
My professional picks and greatest bets are within the hyperlink on the prime whereas BetSided’s Iain MacMillan provided up his outright picks as nicely. Now that we’ve laid the groundwork, let’s dissect our prime performs and fades for every pricing tier with our Mexico Open DraftKings picks.
DraftKings picks for Mexico Open PGA DFS lineups: High Performs
$10,000: Jon Rahm ($11,300) – Whenever you have a look at the $10K vary this week, the one participant you must even contemplate is Rahm. Given what his odds are to win, you possibly can argue that he’s underpriced and we all know what his prime kind seems like. That being stated, he’s the apparent play due to the remainder of the vary simply not being price this worth both due to course match or latest kind (or each). In any case, go Rahm or begin your lineup within the $9K vary. Personally, I choose the latter.
$9,000: Gary Woodland ($9,900) – Any lineup that I construct for this week goes to start out with Gary Woodland. Positive, he’s my choose to win, however I additionally assume his kind and the way in which he performs matches completely with what most individuals consider will probably be required this week. He’s lengthy off the tee, his strategy play has been phenomenal, and he’s been gaining with the putter. I really like him this week and assume he needs to be near a must-play seeing that he simply escapes the $10K vary. Additionally contemplate: Sebastian Munoz ($9,800), Chris Kirk ($9,600), Aaron Sensible ($9,500), Kevin Streelman ($9,100)
$8,000: Charles Howell III ($8,400) – Issues do get a bit robust to navigate within the $8K vary, particularly as a result of you’ll in all probability must dip into this vary irrespective of the place you begin your lineup. Howell won’t be the sexiest choose however he may very nicely be a great one. Probably the greatest course comps for Vidanta is TPC San Antonio for the Valero. Howell was T4 there this 12 months and has one other High 10 lately. He’s additionally performed decently nicely at resort-style and tropical programs. In a variety I’m skeptical of, I’ll take Howell. Additionally contemplate: Sahith Theegala ($8,800), Aaron Rai ($8,700), Davis Riley ($8,500), Lanto Griffin ($8,300)
$7,000: Tyler Duncan ($7,200) – I’m going to maintain beating the Tyler Duncan drum this week. He’s been in sneaky good type of late with a T14 at Zurich, T12 at RBC Heritage and two High 30s earlier than that. He’s not lengthy off the tee, which is a fear, however he’s been actually good on lengthy approaches this 12 months. Furthermore, Duncan completed T35 and T28 at Puerto Rico and Puntacana, two different comps for Vidanta. At this worth, he’s a terrific worth who may actually pop this week. Additionally contemplate: Anirban Lahiri ($7,900), Austin Smotherman ($7,800), Scott Stallings ($7,700), Patrick Rodgers ($7,600), Joseph Bramlett ($7,100)
$6,000: Justin Decrease ($6,800) – My greatest recommendation could be to attempt to keep away from the $6K vary if in any respect attainable. It will get fairly bleak down right here. Nonetheless, I do just like the upside of Decrease, a man who thrived on the Korn Ferry final 12 months and this 12 months and who was High 20 at each Corales Putacana and the Bermuda, two resort-style programs with sticky Paspalum. That makes him price a glance if it’s a must to dive into the underside vary. Additionally Take into account: Hayden Buckley ($6,800), Brandon Hagy ($6,400)
DraftKings picks for Mexico Open PGA DFS lineups: High Fades
$10,000: Kevin Na ($10,100) – Don’t simply have a look at Na’s latest kind and assume you is perhaps getting a little bit of worth on this weak discipline. Sure, he’s completed nicely, however he’s performed so on programs that don’t require him to hit it far off the tee or play nicely together with his lengthy approaches, two areas the place he’s beneath common this season. This course figures to demand that of gamers and he’s not price this worth. And for what it’s price, keep away from Patrick Reed just like the plague as nicely.
$9,000: Brendon Todd ($9,300) – Very similar to with Na, the requisite size required to succeed at a course corresponding to this simply doesn’t appear to be there with Todd. Maybe extra importantly, he’s been far too erratic given the conservative nature of his sport. If I’m paying up in a talent-rich $9K vary, I would like extra certainty than what Todd brings to the desk, so I received’t have any inventory in him this week in Mexico.
$8,000: Doug Ghim ($8,900) – Over his profession, we’ve seen Ghim actually pop at instances and a match corresponding to this one with a weak discipline would make sense. With that stated, nonetheless, the shape simply isn’t there for me to pay this worth to have him in my lineup. He’s missed the reduce in 4 of his final six begins, together with on the Valero Texas Open. I can’t purchase into that this week and he’s a part of the explanation why the $8K vary is so sketcy in my eyes.
$7,000: Wyndham Clark ($7,600) – In some points, a big-hitter like Wyndham Clark may pop at this course the place errant drives shouldn’t be too penal and gamers have to bump it far down the monitor off the tee. That is in regards to the eye check, although. Whereas Clark and Cameron Tringale performed solidly on the Zurich, Clark individually seemed not nice in any respect. There may be some good worth within the $7K vary and Clark simply isn’t going to make the reduce after what I noticed final week.
Mexico Open: Finest DraftKings golf lineup
- Gary Woodland ($9,900)
- Aaron Sensible ($9,500)
- Charles Howell III ($8,400)
- Anirban Lahiri ($7,900)
- Tyler Duncan ($7,200)
- Joseph Bramlett ($7,100)
Woodland, Howell and Duncan have all been coated and I really like their mixture of upside and kind heading into this week the place they need to all be strong course matches. As for Sensible, he’s the linchpin for this lineup. His ball-striking has been terrific however, as at all times, his putter has killed him. All indications, nonetheless, are that needs to be marginalized by the course and greens this week, that means he may make some actual noise.
We’ve additionally seen Lahiri pop this 12 months with a second-place end at THE PLAYERS and a T13 at Valero. He appears to be a pleasant match right here and could possibly be a sleeper. As for Bramlett, this can be a shot-in-the-dark on a bomber who can also be good together with his lengthy irons. His kind isn’t a lot to jot down residence about however there’s potential for him to simply overpower this course and make some noise.