Whereas making an attempt to piece collectively just a few 2022 PGA Championship: Favorites to Fade, I struggled to give you true favorites who I did not like this week. Actually, that should not come as a shock. As a rule, the Vegas betting favorites are powerful to beat in majors as a result of the highest guys on the PGA Tour carry their A-games in large tournaments.
This week will seemingly be no completely different, however I’ll attempt to discover a few guys for everybody to keep away from.
The second main of the season will probably be going down at Southern Hills CC. Southern Hills final hosted in 2007 when Tiger Woods hoisted The Wanamaker Trophy.
This golf course is lengthy and demanding. It measures a whopping 7,556 yards with solely two par 5’s. Each of these holes will play over 630 yards.
It’ll additionally function a number of par 4’s which might be taking part in over 450 yards and just one par 3 taking part in underneath 220 yards. Merely put, Southern Hills CC will probably be a really demanding take a look at this week.
2022 PGA Championship: Favorites to Fade
Scottie Scheffler – +1200 (DraftKings)
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Similar to within the Masters Match, I am fading Scottie Scheffler this week. That is additionally in all probability silly, prefer it was within the 12 months’s first main, wherein he received.
This is the factor; nothing we have now seen from Scheffler this 12 months says to fade him; ever. Nevertheless, he has to ultimately have an off week. Proper?
With this course setup, sustaining with the remainder of the sphere on the longer par 4’s and par 3’s after which capitalizing on among the simpler holes would be the recipe for a win. Scheffler has been wonderful this season in par 4 effectivity from 450 to 500 yards. He ranks twenty fourth on tour coming into this week with a stroke common of 4.026.
Nevertheless, his par 3 effectivity from 200 to 225 yards is just common. He ranks T79th with a stroke common of three.079.
The final merchandise I am with Scheffler is his mediocre scrambling statistic. There are going to be loads of missed greens with a number of lengthy iron pictures, scrambling success across the greens will probably be very important to a superb week. Scheffler ranks simply 123rd on the PGA Tour in scrambling.
Fade Scheffler at your individual peril as a result of he is already confirmed me improper as soon as this 12 months.
Viktor Hovland – +1800 (DraftKings)
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I am not a believer in Viktor Hovland this week, although I’m virtually each different week. His recreation is silky clean and he’s an elite ball striker. I am basing this choice to fade Hovland solely on his brief recreation. Though he has a strong 68th rating in scrambling, he’s the worst participant on tour in SG: Across the inexperienced. Hovland ranks 210th out of a potential 210.
I do not assume GIR proportion will probably be fairly as excessive this week as it’s usually and I can see Hovland shedding fairly a little bit of pictures across the greens, as he usually does.
Hovland is but to overlook a lower in a serious in his younger profession, however he additionally has but to complete within the high 10. I see these two streaks persevering with this week as I see Hovland making the lower however I do not see him competing for his first main.
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